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something weird is happening with AI -- probably good to pay attention

Hey friend, The hype is strong around GPT-4. If you want to develop websites and games, coding is no barrier. GPT-4 can take in your instructions and spit out the final product (source). Make thousands in hours using GPT (source). Of course, all these claims are sensationalized bullshit. This is a race to the bottom of the stem cell (a term I learned from The Undivided Attention podcast). A way to exploit lowest human instincts to garner publicity on social media. But hype aside, there is...

about 1 year ago • 4 min read

Hey friend! My machine learning journey to where I am right now took around 10 years. My profile on Kaggle -- account created 10 years ago. If I had a clue about what what I was doing I could have done maybe done it in 3 years. But what if, absent unfair advantages, getting to good things in life DOES take 10 years? Here is the problem. When going into something new you cannot expect you will be able to find let alone identify expert advice that is worth following. So it might be that indeed...

about 1 year ago • 4 min read

Hey friend, At first you feel overwhelmed when learning ML. You have no clue which course to take. You have no clue if you will ever be able to complete a complex machine learning project. But you persevere. You keep going without hoping things will become better. As you go, you learn about various tools. You learn about techniques how to achieve this or that. How to split data into train and validation sets. How to work with large datasets. And many other small but essential techniques....

about 1 year ago • 2 min read

Hey friend, The sentiment among many prominent people is that we are seeing the beginnings of AGI. For instance, here is the CEO of Quora making a rather bold claim: Adam D'Angelo @adamdangelo AGI (AI at avg human level for any job that can be done remotely) will massively impact GDP growth. We might expect >50%/year. Assuming a continuous run-up to AGI, we should expect GDP growth to start to accelerate as we get closer. When will this be noticeable in GDP metrics? February 21st 2023 62...

about 1 year ago • 4 min read

Hey there, Have been talking to a friend and one thing I realized is that acceptance of your circumstances is a super power. We see people achieving amazing results. Andrej Karpathy joins OpenAI after a stint at Tesla. Tanishq Abraham will earn a PhD at 19 and is co-founding an AI company. You might be tempted to compare yourself to them and feel like you are not doing enough. But the secret is this -- you cannot copy somebody else's journey. You are a sole protagonist of a single player game...

about 1 year ago • 3 min read

Hey friend, Writing online has changed my life. In one way or another it has led to all of my machine learning roles! But good, honest writing without fear doesn't exist. When I would post to the fast.ai forums, I was scared of what Jeremy Howard and my peers might think of me. When I was writing Meta Learning, I was scared publishing it might lead to me losing my job. Now that I write this newsletter, I am scared of what my colleagues at NVIDIA might think of me. I mean, how many engineers...

about 1 year ago • 4 min read

Hey there, Is machine learning the right thing for you? Is the effort worth it? Maybe you should do something else instead? These questions are good to ask yourself. Once or twice. But at some point you have to commit to this or that course of action. And doing so means saying to yourself: Yes, I am not sure this is the right path for me. But based on available evidence, I decide to give this or that my best over the next 6 month period, or 12 month period, or a 2 year period, and see what...

about 1 year ago • 2 min read

Hey friend, I recorded a monologue sitting by the Moreton Bay on the Coral Sea. But I made so many mistakes! I forgot the name of the bay I was sitting by. I was not sure of the name of the hottest startup in all of generative AI. Plus I yell at the camera through part of the video, misuse the term "researcher" and the audio sucks. And despite it all, after much deliberation, I still published it to my YouTube channel. Why? Do you know how it feels to start writing a blog post but never...

about 1 year ago • 2 min read
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